Data shows that Polymarket traders find it difficult to achieve long-term stable profits

According to data from crypto analyst Andrey Sergeenkov, only 0.015% of Polymarket traders can earn over $5000 for four consecutive months. Out of approximately 2.5 million wallets, only 840 have accumulated profits exceeding $100000, including professional institutional accounts. Among the wallets that have made an average profit of over $5000 in 6600 months, only 172 have been active for over a year, accounting for 2.6%. The analysis covers the period from April 2024 to April 1, 2026, and only includes realized gains and losses.