Bitcoin Short term Trend Market Express (April 7-8): With a critical moment approaching, is BTC facing a change in the medium-term trend or continuing to fluctuate and accumulate momentum? My friends, tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock, Trump's ultimatum is about to land. The market has been struggling these past few days, so I have condensed a few key dimensions and come to a conclusion directly. ETF funds: Yesterday, BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark had a net inflow of $470 million today, reaching a 6-week high, which is somewhat surprising. But don't get excited, this is a passive inflow against the backdrop of bearish pressure, not a reversal signal. Institutions are clearly cautious above 70000, so chasing higher prices requires careful consideration. The latest situation of the Three Kingdoms War between the United States and Iran: See you tomorrow morning at 8 o'clock. At present, there is a huge gap in positions between the two sides. Iran wants to permanently end the war, and the United States wants to unconditionally open the strait. The hope of a ceasefire agreement is slim, with a high probability of "another extension". The market has experienced 'delay fatigue', with diminishing marginal effects of positive factors. I just saw the news that the US military bombed an island in Iran. Should Trump do the ultimate pressure or make the final preparations for a ground war? The answer will be available after 8 o'clock tomorrow morning. Analysis of technical and financial aspects: 1) The entrusted buying and selling amounts on the order book are very small, and the buying and selling parties are actually evenly matched, making it difficult to distinguish between them; 2) The long and short positions at the four hour level are relatively weak, and the game between the long and short sides is intense; The head shoulder top structure of the daily chart is still effective -73000 on the left shoulder, 76000 on the head, 71000-72000 on the right shoulder, and 60000-62000 on the neckline. The price of 70000 yuan has been hit back three times, and the long positions at the four hour level can be significantly depleted. 68000 is short-term support, if you can't hold on, look at 67000. Market forecast: There is a high probability of another delay after 8am tomorrow morning. The price will first rebound in pulses to 69500-70500, and then rise and fall back. 71000-72000 is difficult to touch, as it is a densely populated area with transactions and head to shoulder positions. On April 10th, CPI is the real nuclear bomb, with oil prices exceeding $115 and a probability of CPI exceeding expectations exceeding 70%. Once the data is released, it is highly likely that the price will accelerate its decline, and it is likely to initiate the fifth weekly main downtrend. The fourth wave of dead cat rebound at the weekly level, which has been oscillating for 59 days, is about to face a change in the direction of the medium-term trend. Even if it continues to oscillate for a few more days or a few more, it is difficult to change the direction of the medium-term downward trend. The first target for the medium-term downward trend market is 65000-66000, the second target is 60000-62000, and the ultimate target is 40000-45000. Personal trading strategy: Wait for the news to land tomorrow morning, wait for the price to rebound to 69500-70500 and show a four hour time horizon signal (long upper shadow line or swallowing the bearish line), and then enter the market to short. Do not touch the top, do not guess the top, confirm on the right before taking action, pursue stable and sustainable profits, and set the unified stop loss price at 72000. Keep letting the bullets fly for a while, April 10th CPI is the real nuclear bomb.