Today's work is very similar to that of last Tuesday. Last time, the media said that Iran was going to stop the war and took the initiative to seek peace with the United States. It was found that it was overdue news. Today, another news that Iran and the United States were preparing to stop the war for 45 days was reported, which was directly denied by both sides. The White House did not even get Trump's approval. Both times, it was the rise brought by the information side. Last time, it was about to hit $70000 when it fell. I wonder whether this can start a rebound. The key point may still be 8:00 a.m. Beijing time on Wednesday, which is Trump's deadline for Iran. Of course, no one knows whether Trump will continue TACO this time, but I believe that if Trump continues TACO, his support rate is not good. From the perspective of Iran's tough attitude, if Trump does not have TACO, the war may indeed escalate. However, there is also a possibility that the time node on Wednesday is Iran's opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and now more and more ships have passed through. Although the sensitive areas are not good, Trump may think that they have passed, or maybe, and then unilaterally announce his victory and withdraw troops from the Strait of Hormuz. The United States is not so tough, and Iran may start to talk. If this script is really good, at least the market can relax for a while. Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, the turnover rate increased significantly on Monday, but it was still dominated by short-term investors. We have talked about this almost every day. Currently, high net worth and long-term investors are clearly not interested in selling short-term prices or even geopolitical conflicts, and there are signs of increasing holdings. The chip structure is also very healthy, but due to poor liquidity, short-term investors are still the main reason driving price changes. Bitget VIP， Lower rates and more generous benefits