律动BlockBeats|Apr 06, 2026 11:57
**[Opinion: U.S.-Iran Temporary Ceasefire Faces Multiple Realistic Obstacles]**
BlockBeats News, April 6 — Li Zixin, Assistant Researcher at the China Institute of International Studies, stated that based on the current situation, while the possibility of a temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran cannot be ruled out, it indeed faces significant challenges.
Even if achieved, it is more likely to be a stopgap measure rather than a reliable path toward permanent peace. Firstly, the core demands of both sides are fundamentally difficult to reconcile. Iran views control over the Strait of Hormuz and its stockpile of 60% enriched uranium as key strategic bargaining chips in negotiations and has explicitly stated that it will not abandon these essential interests for the sake of a short-term ceasefire.
On the other hand, the U.S. demands that Iran reopen the strait and address its nuclear materials, essentially requiring Iran to make unilateral concessions and temporarily suspend actions in exchange for conditions tied to Iran's core interests. This touches on Iran's sovereignty and security red lines. Secondly, the foundation of trust for negotiations is extremely weak. While Iran has acknowledged exchanging relevant information with the U.S. through friendly nations, it denies engaging in direct talks.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Trump has been sending mixed signals—on one hand, expressing willingness to negotiate, while on the other, issuing continuous military strike "ultimatums." This approach of negotiating while applying pressure is closer to a strategy of maximum coercion and testing the opponent's willingness to compromise, rather than genuinely seeking reconciliation. (Jin10)
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink