小龙先生
小龙先生|Apr 05, 2026 22:22
Bitcoin Market Weekly Report: Mid line Change is Coming, Pay Attention to the Key Time Node on April 7th! Let's first look at a set of amount data and daily comparison analysis: Figure 1 shows that the net inflow of funds into BTC by spot ETF institutions has been tight for three consecutive weeks, which is negligible. I do not see the enthusiasm and interest of ETF institutions in buying BTC at this stage. So, do you still believe that Bitcoin can bounce back to over 70000 with Trump's nonsense? Figure 2 shows the daily data on the order book. From the BTC price fluctuating at 60000 to the present, the amount of orders placed for buying and selling is roughly equal. The fluctuation of buying and selling amounts during this period is even smaller than the range of 80000 to 98000; I don't believe it if you say 60000 is the bottom of the BTC bear market! Figure 3: Comparative analysis of daily trends. The second wave of dead cat rebound at the weekly level fluctuated for 60 days in the range of 80000 to 98000 yuan. After falling below the yellow upward trend line for several days, the price weakly rebounded below the upward trend line. After accumulating momentum for 7 days, the main downward wave of the third wave at the weekly level opened, and the price plummeted for a thousand miles; At present, the fourth wave of dead cat rebound at the weekly level is very similar to the rebound of the second wave; Figure 4 shows that the current range of 60000 to 76000 has been shaken for 58 days. After falling below the yellow upward trend line for several days, the price has been oscillating and accumulating below the upward trend line for 8 days, but still has not been able to break through this upward trend line; Recently, BTC's daily trading volume has been sluggish, price fluctuations have narrowed, and a mid line reversal is imminent, just one spark is needed to ignite the start of a sharp decline. Market Summary and Prediction: 1) I have mentioned many times that the period around April 6th is a very critical turning point. Today is April 6th, and the new week has become very important. This week is likely to show a trend towards the middle line, so it is important to pay attention to it! 2) Trump's 10 day buffer period for Iran is approaching. "Remember, I gave Iran 10 days to either reach an agreement or open the Strait of Hormuz. Time is running out - within 48 hours, the flames of hell will descend upon them. April 7, 2026 at 08:00 Beijing time will be the deadline given by Trump. Whether he will launch a ground war or TACO will also affect the short-term and medium-term trends of Bitcoin prices; The Federal Reserve released CPI data on April 10th, indicating that inflationary pressures should not be underestimated. So, I estimate that after 8am Beijing time on April 7th, Bitcoin may first rebound and rise before experiencing a sharp drop and reversal! 3) If Bitcoin rebounds and rises again on April 7th due to Trump's signal of easing the war, the high point is still likely to be below the daily upward trend line of 69500 yuan. The positive news released by Trump will turn negative, and the reversal will occur when the sentiment and pursuit of gains among investors are high; If Trump announces that the US military will launch a ground attack on Iran, this negative news will instantly strike multiple heads and a reversal will begin Regardless of whether Trump announced positive or negative news after 8am Beijing time on April 7th, the weekly dead cat rebound of Bitcoin has come to an end, and the mid line trend quickly changed course. Our trading strategy is very clear: on the morning of April 7th at 8 o'clock, short BTC at high prices. If we want to know where the high point is, I would say around 69500. Wishing you all a happy week, happy work, happy life, and making big profits by short selling BTC at high prices! If you think this market analysis and prediction article is good, please help forward it. Thank you for your support. Thank you
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