小龙先生|4月 05, 2026 13:52
The storm for $BTC is very likely coming soon. Aside from Trump’s self-hyped trash talk affecting short-term fluctuations, the strong mid-term downward trend to test the bottom seems to be the final choice. Get ready!
1) Signals for a mid-term trend reversal in $BTC: shrinking trading volume, narrowing price fluctuations, structural convergence (formation of a four-hour descending wedge after the price breaks below the lower boundary of the ascending channel);
2) A series of bearish data from the Americans will be released in early April, especially with CPI inflation pressures rising. Not raising interest rates would already be considered good, but rate cuts are starting to look like a luxury for the Americans.
3) The Americans and Israelis launching a war against Iran—actions have consequences, and karma is real. This will trigger global inflation, severe volatility in global financial markets, and an unavoidable global economic recession. As a high-risk asset, Bitcoin won’t be spared.
4) The Bitcoin bear market is still ongoing. The dead cat bounce in the weekly fourth wave won’t change the mid-term downward trend. The fifth wave, the main bearish wave, is about to usher in a dark crash moment and the late stages of a deep bear market.
5) Trading strategy: Focus on mid-term short positions, while trying to catch short-term rebounds. Shorting $BTC at highs offers better risk-reward ratios and higher chances of success.
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