陈剑Jason|Apr 03, 2026 09:28
The reason why many people on Twitter are extremely bearish is that "there are many early big players whose hoarding costs are very low. If they don't sell, they won't rise." So let's share another indicator, the number of BTC profits, that is, how many BTC are in a profitable state, which can be used to assist in judging where the current stage is. The data in the past 15 years is as follows
The lowest bear market in 2011 was 3.5 million, corresponding to a BTC price of 2.5U.
The lowest bear market in 2015 was 5 million, corresponding to a BTC price of 250U.
The lowest bear market in 2019 was 7.5 million, corresponding to a BTC price of 3500U.
The lowest bear market in 2022 is 9 million, corresponding to a BTC price of 16000U.
There are currently 10 million in 2026, corresponding to a BTC price of 66000U.
So did you see it? Even at the most bearish super bottom of each cycle, the number of profitable bitcoins continues to rise. In the bear market of 2022, nearly half of the total bitcoins are still profitable! So we cannot use the fact that there are still many people making profits as a reason to believe that there is no bottom line.
And now 10 million BTC are in a profitable state, almost on par with the previous round of 9 million. No one can accurately predict where the bottom will be, but at this position, I choose to invest 1000U daily.
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