Phyrex|Apr 02, 2026 21:49
The recent homework is getting more and more difficult. First of all, tomorrow is the last trading day of this week because the US stock market will not open in the day of the crucifixion, so today is the last trading day of this week. The next opening will be Monday, and now the biggest hope is that Trump will not engage in such activities at the weekend, but I think that all can be done. The next three weeks may still be dominated by the Iranian conflict. Today is also strange. The oil price has been surging, but the US stock market has rebounded, and even may rise and close.
Although tomorrow is a holiday, there will still be the release of non farm payroll data. Although the data is not very important, it still has some impact on the market. According to the predicted data, the unemployment rate will remain unchanged, and it is enough for non farm payroll employment to change from negative to positive last month. It is too much to imagine. Although there will be an interest rate meeting at the end of the month, the probability of no change is still the highest. Many people are worried that there will be interest rate hikes, and it is still too early to see now.
Recently, the war has become more and more fierce. The price of US oil has gone above US $110. Both the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea may be restricted. Previously, Trump said it could pass. Now, it has become that the United States does not rely on the Strait of Hormuz, and who can handle it by himself. It is not wrong to say that this is not wrong. Europe is meeting today to study. At present, Iran is restricting the passage of the United States and Israel, and other ships should be able to pay. In this regard, Trump may not be wrong to announce the passage of the Strait of Hormuz.
I think Trump will regret this war. It was a good situation and now it is stuck in Iran. There is still a lot of shit waiting for him.
Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, although the turnover rate has increased slightly, it is not very high, and investors' emotions are relatively relaxed. Although the price has fallen slightly, there is no obvious panic. Currently, the main sellers are short-term investors, and there are still some investors who are gradually becoming long-term investors. Unfortunately, the liquidity is indeed too poor, and the overall market sentiment is influenced by the war. Investors' funds are still relatively cautious.
The next weekend will be three days, and the liquidity will be even worse. I hope Trump won't make any trouble.
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