TraderS | 缺德道人|Apr 02, 2026 16:47
There is a high probability that there will be a final ground battle in April, so there will not be a unilateral rise, so it is possible to short at a high level.
At the same time, there will be various public opinion and information warfare before and after the ground war, as well as negative effects after the war, so there will be no unilateral decline, so it is also possible to go long at a low level.
The United States and Iran, the war and Trump, who is afraid of the collapse of the stock market and bond market, have jointly become the ups and downs of the entire risk market. Blocking all core assets will not deviate too much from the track, giving traders a rare opportunity for wide swings.
When emotions are at two extremes, look at the technical aspect. If the extreme stress level and support level are reached, using limited risk to do the opposite in extreme emotions is highly likely to yield results. After all, this is a man-made disaster, not a natural disaster. With Kawako's intervention, the market direction can be corrected at any time.
This is the worst era, but it is also the best era. Although Chuan'er's daily verbal artillery is really annoying, he has also created huge waves and opportunities. All positive and negative factors will quickly discount, and even if they are wrong, they will not be wrong for too long.
Now that US oil prices have surpassed Brent crude, Iran has also changed its conservative impression, knowing both the importance of directly attacking the stock market and the significance of targeting computing power centers. Since the AWS data center was damaged, it feels like Gemini Ultra has become an idiot and can only be downgraded back to PRO for now.
In the context of the upside down of oil price, the news of Japan's nationwide short selling was really funny, but it is reasonable to suspect that it is the cooperation of the high market with Trump to intimidate bulls with the national credit guarantee to slow the rise. After all, no one really dares to empty strategic supplies like crude oil when there are too many uncontrollable factors, otherwise they would really be seeking death.
In short, it is good that the gold and silver stock market does not collapse before the end of the war, or before the dawn of an end can be seen, or before the final blow is confirmed that Iran will not retaliate further. It is difficult to see a unilateral market trend. But it is true that every panic drop is at least a good opportunity for gold and silver to increase long-term positions.
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