Are you doing it! CL stands firm at MA120 half year line, MACD golden cross confirmed, Trump's Iran speech pushes up oil price expectations
AiCoin|4月 02, 2026 07:17
Hyperliquid data shows that the CL/USDC perpetual 4H cycle K-line indicates that the price is currently around 105.85 and has successfully stabilized at the MA120 six-month line. From a morphological perspective, since the rapid rebound from the previous low point, the price has repeatedly accurately retraced the MA120 moving average and gained strong support for the rebound. As a medium to long-term dynamic support level, MA120 has shown stable performance, and the overall 4H structure shows the characteristics of gradually rising at the bottom and preliminary formation of an upward trend, with obvious signs of bullish control.
In terms of MACD indicator: DIF has surpassed DEA, forming a golden cross signal, and the bar has changed from a negative range to a positive one, indicating that short-term momentum has completed a reversal in the bottom region and upward momentum is gradually being released. The trading volume has significantly increased during the price rebound process, with a healthy balance between volume and price. There has been no significant divergence between the top and bottom, indicating an increase in the intervention of bullish funds. There is still potential to continue testing the upward space in the short term.
The impact of Trump's speech: Trump made it clear in his national address that the Iran war will continue for "two to three weeks", and if an agreement cannot be reached, the United States will strike Iran's power plants and say it will "bring Iran back to the Stone Age". He emphasized that the core strategic goals of the United States are nearing completion, and the Iranian navy and air force have basically lost their capabilities. At the same time, he announced that the United States will no longer import oil from the Strait of Hormuz in the future. This tough stance directly raised concerns in the market about short-term geopolitical supply uncertainty, and after the speech, US crude oil prices quickly soared to over $103 per barrel, with Brent briefly breaking through $106, significantly amplifying oil price volatility.
Trading opportunity analysis: With reliable support provided by the 4H cycle MA120, confirmation of a bottom reversal by the MACD golden cross, coupled with the geopolitical macro catalysis brought about by Trump's speech, and the high trading volume weight of crude oil on the Hyperliquid platform, the short-term upward probability of CL is relatively high under the resonance of multiple factors. However, the progress of geopolitical events is uncertain and prone to sudden fluctuations. It is recommended to strictly set stop loss and control leverage reasonably, which is suitable for short - and medium-term operations.
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