Big Bitcoin ($BTC) closed March with a green monthly candle, ending the previous five consecutive red months. However, the candlestick is a doji star, indicating consolidation without a clear signal of a bottom. Looking back at the 2022 bear market: after the first green candle signaling a pause in the downtrend, prices often continued to drop. For April, there's a high probability of further decline. Even if April closes green, the chances of a drop in May remain high. The likelihood of bottoming out directly in April is very low. On the daily chart, $BTC broke below a bearish wedge, with multiple rebound attempts facing resistance, each followed by sharp drops. Structurally, the overall trend remains bearish. Today, you can consider short positions around 67,900 and 68,600. Monthly, weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all point to bearish sentiment, with strong downward momentum.