I wanted to wait for Trump to make a speech, but I couldn't bear it. Today, the President of Iran released an article to the Americans, which generally means that Iran is in pursuit of peace, and has hardly taken the initiative to launch a war. Now the situation is forced. Although it seems to be complaining, it actually feels more like a declaration of "preferring death to surrender", which also means that Trump believes that the probability of a short-term ceasefire is not high, unless it is a devastating blow. Now some American politicians think that Trump wants to leave the war by unilaterally declaring victory, but the withdrawal may not mean the end of the war. Trump may think that the Strait of Hormuz will be unblocked after the withdrawal, but from the perspective of Iran's current attitude, it seems not easy, let alone that the Red Sea is also under the influence of the Hussain armed forces. At present, the market is still more influenced by information. The rise in US stocks and the decline in oil prices are not due to the end of the war, but rather due to the possibility of market expectations ending. If expectations change, the market is likely to continue to fluctuate, so it is better to be cautious during this period. Looking back at the data of Bitcoin, a lot of on chain data for BTC has been released during the day, and the overall data is showing that Bitcoin holders have not entered a panic state, especially high net worth investors who still mainly hold for the long term. The overall investor sentiment is quite stable, and the fluctuations mainly come from short-term investors. Bitget VIP， Lower rates and more generous benefits