彼得兔|Mar 31, 2026 09:56
BTC 2026.03.31 Market Analysis
BTC tested upwards today and has not yet recovered from the trend. The overall view remains unchanged - the rebound within the blue box, which starts at 60000 yuan, is aimed at the black line of 97900-60000 yuan, which has entered its final stage. Once the rebound endpoint is found, BTC can end its rebound at any time and start a new downward trend. In short, 60000 yuan cannot be the bottom for BTC.
Yesterday, it was mentioned that it is not allowed to have a low point below 65000 after April 2nd, otherwise BTC may peak at 76000 and then fall directly. Now that time is running out, it is difficult to push a strong upward trend, and the situation is not optimistic.
At present, there is a new observation point -69220, and the inability to break through this line this week will also increase the probability of BTC peaking at 76000.
In the next few days, we will develop trading strategies based on the performance of the market. If the four hour candlestick falls below 65000 after April 2nd, we will find an opportunity to directly enter the short market on the right side;
If we can hold on to 65000, or if we drop to a new low below 65000 before April 2nd but quickly close the needle and break through 69220, there is still a possibility of it taking the red route. Under this trend, we will take the opportunity to do a short-term long short band, while patiently waiting for its 4-hour and daily chart to show a peak signal, and play with the subsequent large short orders.
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