In the live broadcast of Xiaobao Community: When panic meets peace negotiations - the macro logic behind today's market trend
小豹社区|Mar 30, 2026 14:00
Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7277739262
Today, the overall news in the cryptocurrency industry is positive, with the market experiencing a rebound after a "plunge" in early trading, but macro uncertainty still exists.
Market Reversal: From Diving to Recovery
This morning, the market experienced a panic decline due to the tense situation between the United States and Iran
·Early morning plunge: Bitcoin fell below $65000 (lowest $64785), with nearly $200 million of positions sold across the entire network in just one hour, with 96% being long orders.
·Afternoon rebound: Expectations of easing situation drive a rebound. As of this afternoon, Bitcoin has risen over 3% and approached $68000, while Ethereum has risen over 4%. The AI sector led the gains (+2.35%), while SIREN rose over 13%.
Core variable: dominant sentiment in the Middle East situation
Today's trend revolves around a rapid geopolitical reversal:
·Reason for the decline: Iran warns to list the residences of US and Israeli commanders as "legitimate targets", while soaring oil prices suppress risk appetite.
·Rebound catalysis: Pakistan is preparing for US Iran peace talks, and diplomats from both sides have agreed to meet, easing concerns about the escalation of the conflict.
Regulatory and Institutional Dynamics
·Regulatory Update: Washington State sues prediction market Kalshi; Canada plans to ban political donations of encrypted assets.
·Impact of the Act: Analysts warn that if the CLARITY Act is passed, it may pose negative pressure on DeFi tokens.
·Fund differentiation: Bitcoin ETF received inflows, but Ethereum ETF had a net outflow of $207 million last week, indicating that funds prefer BTC.
Today is a typical 'news driven market' - from Iran's tough warning triggering a sell-off to the expectation of peace negotiations igniting a rebound, prices have fluctuated dramatically. The current market is still highly sensitive, and it is recommended to closely monitor the speech of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell on Monday and the non farm payroll data on Friday.
How to trade the current market and how to use indicators are being explained in the live broadcast room
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
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