I don't know when it will change? Full of Easter emotional value! April 5-7 may become a key turning point for ETH trading. Today is Monday, and it's almost the end of the month. I have no time to write my own opinions. This post does not predict price fluctuations, but only provides statistics on coincidental event cycles. It is not suitable for short-term players and is more suitable as a reference for studying medium to long term and cycles. I have done a three-year ETH volatility analysis based on four-year data. You may not like watching it now, and you think anyone can do it. Keep reading. The period from April 7th, 2025 to April 7th, 2026 is the fourth annual cycle. Historical data: "Bitcoin halved in 2020, two years later. In 2022, the Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to curb the most severe inflation in 40 years, leading to a trend of decline in risk assets. We won't talk about the root cause of inflation that year. If you're interested, go check it out yourself. Since the halving in 2024, we have entered the second year of halving, coinciding with the outbreak in the Middle East, which has pushed up oil prices and raised expectations of global inflation rebounding. We won't say how much it can afford, lowering it will definitely be difficult, and the worst scenario is for the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates. Raising interest rates is just another blow, and currently the probability of implementation is not high! But when you hear the wind, it's not a good thing. Does anyone still think there's a cow? I think you can think there is a rebound, but you shouldn't think there is a bull market. Short selling at high prices should be the main theme of this year. Why is it calculated as 4/7 days? Because 4/6 is the final deadline for the US to strike Iran's energy facilities, which is the most crucial variable. Also around Easter (Easter on April 5th) - emotional value is maximized! Another interesting point is that ETH rebounded from its low of 2620 on November 21, 2025 to its high of 3283 on January 19, 2026, taking 59 days! Then it continued to decline and hit a low of 1736 on February 5, 2026, which is not important. It is important to note that it has been 53 days since the rebound from the low point of 1736 on February 5, 2026. Therefore, the last rebound cycle was 59 days. This time, we will take 60 days, starting from March 31 plus 7 days, which happens to be 4/6. Based on the above, April 5th, 6th, and 7th are theoretically the turning points. It's okay if you don't have to pay too much attention at other times. I think you need to pay more attention these three days, maybe it's a good opportunity. Crypto ETH Bitcoin