
Phyrex|Mar 29, 2026 19:38
Today went by pretty smoothly, no drama this weekend, which is already pretty good. Over the weekend, BTC's price only showed slight fluctuations. Although the war seems to be escalating, it hasn’t really impacted Bitcoin over the weekend. This shows that, apart from institutional players, real investors aren’t paying much attention to the current market behavior. The key focus will likely be on Monday when CME opens and how our friends in Asia react, as well as the thoughts of U.S. investors after the U.S. stock market opens in the evening.
The impact of the war on oil prices is getting harder to suppress. Today, I saw many global analysts predicting Brent oil might surge to $200 per barrel. Initially, I thought $150 was already tough to reach, but if it hits $200, we’ll really need to start considering rate hikes and a potential recession. Inflation is likely to rebound significantly. It seems we’re only about three weeks away from exhausting the strategic reserves released by the IEA.
Right now, not only is there no sign of a ceasefire, but the war is developing in an even more severe direction. The Houthis have officially joined the fray, and the Red Sea blockade—how much longer will it last? The Middle East is being hit hard, and the U.S. has deployed a large number of troops. If I were Trump, I’d be having a massive headache. After the war ends, there’s still tariffs, the Federal Reserve, and the midterm elections waiting for him.
Back to Bitcoin data: over the weekend, the turnover rate continued to drop, and trading volume is also decreasing. This indicates that even with the war escalating, investors aren’t showing much interest in trading or panic. The overall token structure remains stable. The key point will still be Monday’s opening and the movements of U.S. stock market investors.
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