Lark Davis
Lark Davis|Mar 29, 2026 05:07
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia just maxed out its East-West pipeline, the one that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz. Sounds big. Here's the reality check: 20 million barrels a day flow through Hormuz. That pipeline was carrying 1M b/d before the war. Now at full capacity it adds maybe 6M b/d of relief, pumped across the Arabian Peninsula and shipped out via the Red Sea, Hormuz-free. That still leaves 14-15 million barrels a day with nowhere to go. And here's the second reality check: the Houthis in Yemen can threaten Red Sea shipping too. Not at Iran's scale, but enough to scare off tankers and insurers. This is first aid, it buys the world some time. But no pipeline fixes a 20% global supply shock. The only real treatment? Ending the war.(Lark Davis)
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