小龙先生
小龙先生|3月 28, 2026 12:13
"This is not an exaggeration! A bigger and faster BTC crash is still ahead! Let’s dive into some data analysis, technical analysis, and recent developments: 1) **Spot ETF institutions**: Yesterday saw a net outflow of $225 million. ETF institutions are slowly selling off BTC. If the price drops below $60K, I predict major institutional ETFs will ramp up their selling pressure. 2) **Pending buy orders**: The amount of pending buy orders has indeed increased, providing some support for the weekend rebound. However, the strength of these buy orders is relatively weak, and the 4-hour bullish momentum is really lacking. 3) **Daily chart**: The price has broken below the 48-day upward trendline—this is a critical signal! At the same time, the MACD has formed a bearish crossover at a high level, indicating that the upward trend has turned negative and a downward trend is starting. 4) **Weekly chart**: The 4th wave dead cat bounce has completely ended, and the 5th wave single-sided downtrend has officially begun. I don’t recommend trying to bottom fish or go long on Bitcoin unless you’re doing ultra-short-term trading or long-term investing. 5) **Geopolitical tensions**: The U.S. and Israel bombed three Iranian nuclear facilities, and Iran’s leadership immediately announced they’re considering withdrawing from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Meanwhile, Iran’s Revolutionary Guard attacked Saudi U.S. military bases’ refueling planes and infrastructure. In response, the U.S. is increasing Marine deployments and rallying Gulf nations and armed forces to counter Iran. The U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict is escalating into a broader Middle Eastern chaos, and more intense warfare could break out next week! Oil prices are likely to keep rising. 6) **U.S. economic data**: March saw skyrocketing prices in the U.S., with key data set to be released in early April. Poor economic data + weak unemployment rates + the April 10 CPI increase could lead to a sharp drop in U.S. stocks and Bitcoin. The probability of this happening is very high! **Market Summary**: 1) The market and trading volume are temporarily calm this weekend—this is the calm before a more violent storm! 2) Bearish signals on Bitcoin’s daily and weekly charts, ETF outflow data, and multiple unfavorable factors are resonating together. In April, Bitcoin is highly likely to experience a bigger and faster crash. The bears are already sounding the rallying cry. 3) **Trading strategy**: Focus on shorting at highs. Manage your position sizes and set stop-loss levels. Aim for big returns by capturing profits from Bitcoin’s weekly 5th wave mid-term single-sided downtrend. Have a great weekend, and may your short positions bring you plenty of profits! #Bitcoin #Crypto #TradingStrategy #BTC $BTC
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