Risk Warning: BTC is shaking above the daily uptrend line!! 1) The long and short positions at the four hour level are both weak. Stimulated by Trump's self proclaimed rhetoric, BTC prices rebounded to a maximum of 72000; 2) The daily MACD has reached a high dead cross, and the upward trend has significantly weakened, indicating that the bullish strength is diminishing; 3) The price has rebounded twice to around 72000 yuan, but has been hindered from falling and adjusting. During the oscillation period, the highest rebound price was 76000 yuan, and it is currently expected to form a head shoulder top reversal structure below 76000 yuan; 4) The price oscillates below the daily upward trend line for several days, accumulating momentum. Once it falls below this upward trend line, the fourth wave of dead cat rebound will completely end; 5) In early April, various important data from the United States were released one after another, and the data was very pessimistic, which added insult to injury to the US stock market and Bitcoin, creating a significant negative impact; The war between the United States, Israel, and Iran is endless, and it is difficult to determine when to cease hostilities. Around April 6th, there is a high probability that Bitcoin will experience a downward trend in the direction of the central line. Even if there is a ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran in the future, it will only have a short-term impact on price fluctuations and cannot change the direction of the downward trend in the central line. Be prepared to enter the market and short Bitcoin in batches near the rebound highs of 72000, 74500, and 76000 at any time!