彼得兔|Mar 26, 2026 03:57
BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.26
Self reminder: 60000 is the low point of the stage, and we will run an oversold rebound that has lasted for 47 days. Currently, we are in the late stage of the rebound, and after the rebound ends, there will be a new decline. BTC starting with 5 is not far away from us.
In an ideal state, a decline starting at 76000 is considered a pullback, followed by an upward trend after the pullback ends. The entire rebound starting at 60000 in late March and early April begins to decline.
But everyone should pay attention to one thing - BTC will have a lot of fake actions before each round of big market starts. Including but not limited to a deep pullback that makes people feel like there is no high point and falls directly, a surge to near 76000 without breaking the high and falling directly, and a surge to 78000 and 79000 that makes people feel like they won't fall again and then suddenly plummet .....
And the specific situation that will occur depends entirely on the liquidity situation in the market, and the reason why the trend has become ink stained here is largely due to the accumulation of liquidity.
There are many possibilities for small levels, but the overall trend is certain. At this critical juncture, we only need to remember one thing, which is that we are currently in the late stage of a rebound, and after the rebound ends, there will be a new decline. Then leverage the advantages of Gann's theory - focusing on time. By the end of this month or early April, whether or not I break through 76, I will look for opportunities to short. This trend short position is one of the few deterministic market trends in the first half of this year.
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