币圈老鱼🌊🌊|Mar 23, 2026 10:18
Sharing an arbitrage mindset for better understanding: the arbitrage opportunities between oil prices, the stock market, and crypto. Let me throw out a question first—among all assets right now, which one is the most sensitive to the Iran situation?
My answer is 'oil.' If the Iran situation eases or there’s news of a positive new agreement, Wall Street will definitely be the first to know. Their top priority would be to close out their long oil positions and start shorting.
Since 'oil' is the most direct trading asset, the first wave of money/trades will definitely happen in oil, followed by the U.S. stock market, other countries' stock markets, crypto, and so on.
So right now, oil prices are the barometer for the entire Iran situation. If oil suddenly starts dropping for no apparent reason, it’s a sure sign that some news is about to break. I’d jump in immediately to buy the dip and at least catch the rebound.
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