3.23 Bitcoin Tiger Diary: It's exploded! This year, instead of cutting interest rates, interest rates will rise. The 9% drop in gold is just an appetizer

比特虎 (Waiting)
比特虎 (Waiting)|3月 23, 2026 07:48
Brothers, the wind direction has completely changed, but there are probably still many people in the dark. The biggest reversal in 2026: shattered dream of interest rate cuts, restarted interest rate hikes! Just look at these three pictures and you'll understand everything: Federal Reserve September Meeting: 57.1% probability of maintaining 350-375 basis points, market no longer fantasizes about rate cuts, and even begins to bet on rate hikes Gold futures crash: from 5626 to 4123, plummeting by 9.86% in a single day, shattering the belief in "buying gold in troubled times" with reality Polymarket Real Money Voting: Cease fire by 56% before June, 71% by the end of the year - delaying the war until the second half of the year is already a market consensus This is what I mean by 'the black swan is giving birth': The inflationary pressure brought by war+Strait of Hormuz blockade+global energy crisis=The Federal Reserve not only cannot cut interest rates to rescue the market, but may also be forced to raise interest rates to combat inflation. Do you remember the global FOMO rush for gold in January this year? Everyone is afraid of not being able to buy it, and in that moment, the top is written on the picture. People who still advocate buying gold in troubled times are either really stupid or deeply influenced. Tonight, the US stock market still needs to kill: No matter what positive news, the triple resonance of technological breakthrough, macro shift, and emotional collapse cannot be stopped by the arrival of the Heavenly King Laozi. Fortunately, the cryptocurrency market has already fallen significantly in the past few months, and the first dose of prevention has already been administered. But the US stock market still needs to make another move and give the market a second shot - true deep panic often erupts after the second shot. ⏰ Key time window: According to the current pace, the first batch of warehouse building windows that I expected will arrive in April or May. When the market switches from "expecting interest rate cuts" to "panic rate hikes", the stampede has just begun. Tiger Brother Status: The verification order continues to generate profits, and the main cash position is on high alert. The probability of global systemic crisis caused by inflation in the world is suddenly escalating, which is the window of certainty that I have been waiting for for a long time. Continue to maintain discipline and let the bullets fly for a while. When everyone's expectations are completely overturned, our opportunity is at the corner. Do you still have anyone around you who firmly believes that 'interest rates must be lowered this year'? Where do you think the expectation of interest rate hikes will hit BTC? Can gold return to 5000? Please share your judgment in the comment section! Bitcoin BTC interest rate hike expected, gold plummets, interest rate cuts disillusioned, war on inflation, Bitcoin Tiger diary
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