TraderS | 缺德道人|Mar 22, 2026 16:15
The situation in Iran did not continue to deteriorate this weekend, and today there are two sets of news that need to be read together,
1. Trump threatens to blow up the power plant if Iran does not open the channel within 48 hours
2. Iran responded to Trump's threat, saying that if the power station was bombed, it would immediately block the strait and hit the Israeli power station.
3. The United States plans to propose a peace agreement to Iran that includes restrictions on missile development and denuclearization.
Iran proposes six peace conditions including war reparations and control of the Strait of Hormuz to end the war
These news articles look shocking, but the threat is not as great as before.
In fact, the United States and Iran are at odds. Trump wants to withdraw his troops by increasing investment in Iran's clothing and software.
Iran cannot compromise for reasons such as national interests, national dignity, the interests of the Revolutionary Guard, and the stability of the new leader, which is why it demands exorbitant prices.
The two sides are now fighting and talking about the intention of contact, especially Trump, who said later that he would talk and later that he would change his face faster than opening a book, is clearly playing his trade art again. However, in reality, the current price difference between the two parties is too large, and it may take some time before we can actually negotiate a result.
It is worth noting that Netanyahu has finally returned to the public eye in a convincing way, which means that the previously rumored way of ending the war with the death of Netanyahu is no longer feasible.
It has been three weeks since the war, and Trump should be the most uncomfortable one in this bureau. If he is given a chance to make a fresh start, I believe he will hide far away. It's really not a good thing that leeks will make a big profit in Venezuela when they are tested. Trump's 5000 landing soldiers are on the way, and it seems that the aircraft carrier has been resupplied and repaired. Trump probably still has to follow the path of making a great achievement. After all, the United States cannot accept the chain reaction brought by the failed withdrawal.
There are too many uncontrollable factors in the direction of war, and conservative strategies on the right side such as holding coins and waiting for purchases to reduce risks may be the best choice at present. Currently, gold and silver are opposite to oil prices, and US stocks and bonds are opposite. From the perspective of the market, there may be a maximum rebound next week, and there are indeed many signs of easing, but it is also possible to suddenly fall into the abyss. If you want to make a big profit from a game, you also need to be prepared for losses. The difficulty of trading in the market is indeed quite high now, as the old saying goes: "Manage your mentality well and do a good job of risk control".
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