福禄寿 UV DAO
福禄寿 UV DAO|Mar 21, 2026 04:39
Trump is currently caught in a dilemma over military actions against Iran. He posted on Truth Social, stating that military objectives are nearly achieved and he’s considering a gradual de-escalation, while criticizing NATO as a 'paper tiger.' However, these remarks fail to hide his passive position: the original plan to quickly strike and destroy Iran’s core capabilities while controlling oil prices has now turned into a war of attrition. Oil prices have surged, driving up U.S. inflation, forcing the Fed to maintain high interest rates, narrowing rate-cut expectations, and even raising the possibility of rate hikes. Gold and U.S. stocks have also come under pressure and dropped, completely derailing the goal of a swift victory. The key pain point now lies in the dilemma of advancing or retreating. If actions escalate, it could trigger a full-scale war, further driving up oil prices, worsening inflation, suppressing rate-cut expectations, and dragging down the stock market and gold prices. If he opts for de-escalation, he risks being labeled as weak, losing voter support, while facing dual pressures from allies shirking responsibility and domestic political divisions. The high inflation and falling asset prices would also remain unresolved. His so-called 'tactical de-escalation' is essentially a stop-loss choice made in a no-win situation. It’s neither a graceful exit nor a decisive victory. With inflation pressures persisting, rate-cut and rate-hike expectations fluctuating, and gold and U.S. stocks under pressure, the stalemate is likely to continue. In this scenario, $BTC managing to hold steady without dropping is already the best outcome.
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