There's nothing new, just keep looking at the conflict between Iran and the United States. Until now, Hormuz has not opened up. Although the price of US oil has not stabilized and broken through $100 mainly due to the release of the IEA, today's rough calculation shows that the IEA can withstand only one month. If the battle cannot be resolved after more than a month or even less, the market estimates that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates this year. This is the most painful thing for Trump. If the oil price leads to the rise of American inflation, even if Wash comes to power, it is not easy for the Federal Reserve to persuade more than half of its members to support the interest rate reduction. The root cause is the battle launched by Trump against Iran. Although Trump has always said that the battle will end soon, from the current situation, it should still be necessary in three weeks and four weeks. What's more, Trump still has a tax mess waiting for him. Whether and how to implement the new tariffs, how to deal with the refund of the old tariffs, and the relentless pursuit of Powell will also delay the time when Walsh takes office. As a result, Powell may be "forced" to be tough as the temporary chairman of the Federal Reserve for a few months, which is really a blow. Looking back at Bitcoin's data, on the last working day before the weekend, although the US stock market fell quite badly, BTC still maintained around $70000 and had strong resilience. However, the US stock market has already experienced three consecutive declines, and Bitcoin has just ended its three consecutive declines. Moreover, the US stock market did not open on the weekend, so I don't know if there will be any new tricks that will affect BTC on the weekend. Trump, in particular, hopes not to make trouble on weekends. As long as there is no big negative, Bitcoin seems to be able to hold up. Bitget VIP， Lower rates and more generous benefits