xiyu
xiyu|Mar 20, 2026 10:03
Most people inevitably lose money trading crypto. This isn’t an opinion—it’s math. First, understand one key premise: the crypto market is a negative-sum game. The money you earn isn’t just someone else’s loss; you also have to subtract fees, funding rates, and slippage. The total pool is constantly shrinking. Then, you’re entering the market with an information disadvantage. The things project teams, market makers, and VCs can see are completely invisible to you. Negative-sum game + information disadvantage = negative expected returns. What if you occasionally make a profit? Your brain will make it hard for you to hold onto gains and easy for you to hold onto losses. If you lose 50%, you need a 100% gain just to break even—one big loss can wipe out all your small wins. Now add the friction costs of high-frequency trading: every trade comes with fees and slippage. The more you trade, the more you lose. These four factors combined mean it’s not just "most people lose"—it’s structurally, mathematically, a negative expectation. The only way not to lose: don’t trade. Just hold. #Crypto #TradingTips #HODL
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