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mignolet
mignolet|Mar 20, 2026 01:16
March is already drawing to a close. Ultimately, while the direction was different from February, the fundamental flow of the market has not changed significantly. What I've observed throughout February and March is that the market still assigns excessive meaning to short-term structures, causing expectations and sentiment to shift far too rapidly. This was clearly evident during the rally on March 17th. Such an atmosphere would be difficult to form if extreme fear actually existed in the market. To reiterate, even in previous bull cycles, it took about eight months of prolonged sideways movement before prices began to climb again. Yet now, despite the situation being even more severe, people are placing heavy significance on short-term moves after only two months. This is because lingering expectations still remain in the market. As a result, even a slight rebound quickly triggers bullish hopes and FOMO. I am maintaining a consistent outlook. If prices rise again in the short term, it will likely be no different from last week expectations will amplify once more. Considering the overall current situation, it is difficult to expect a meaningful rally from a trend-perspective.(mignolet)
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Timeline

Apr 17, 06:01Bitcoin liquidity reaches an all-time high
Apr 17, 02:20The crypto market remains in a structurally bearish defensive state.
Apr 16, 22:10U.S. import prices rose 0.8% month-on-month in March.
Apr 16, 18:43The market is on the verge of collapse! Tune in tonight at 5:30 PM ET
Apr 16, 15:54The spot market is not the worst yet.
Apr 16, 14:09The crypto market liquidated $123M
Apr 16, 13:02Whales have accumulated 270,000 BTC over the past 30 days
Apr 16, 10:36Major U.S. stock indices rose across the board in pre-market trading.
Apr 16, 10:15Crypto-related stocks broadly rise pre-market in the U.S. stock market
Apr 16, 07:50The market is attempting to recover

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