Polymarket bets on a 5% chance that the US Israel war with Iran will end by the end of March
AiCoin|3月 19, 2026 12:15
According to Polymarket data, the probability of betting that the US Israel war against Iran will end before March 31 is only 5%, a significant decrease from the early stages of the conflict. Meanwhile, the probability of betting that the conflict will end on April 30th is 35%, and the probability of ending on June 30th is 57%. The cumulative trading volume of this market is approximately 3.7 million US dollars. President Trump once predicted that the US military operation in the Middle East would last for four to five weeks.
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