3.19 Bitcoin Tiger Diary: Funds Vote with Feet, Cease fire is Far Away

比特虎 (Waiting)
比特虎 (Waiting)|Mar 19, 2026 09:18
Brothers, the real money on Polymarket has already given the answer, the big one is coming soon. PM data does not lie: Cease fire on March 31st: 8% (highly unlikely) April 30th: 36% (still declining) By the end of the year: 71% (likely to be delayed for a long time) Funds are much more honest than words. When retail investors were still fantasizing about "short-term conflicts and immediate interest rate cuts", Smart Money had already planned to "delay until the end of the year". The eerie calmness of the US stock market: Hormuz blockade, inflationary pressure, geopolitical escalation - any of them used to have a minimum starting point of -10%. With so many mines hanging, can the US stock market still trade sideways at a high level? The only explanation is that the main force is frantically palletizing out the final goods. Script deduction: Now: Wall Street maintains the illusion of 'peaceful times' and continues to sell Late March April: Suddenly Admitting the 'Longevity of Conflicts' Explosion: Expected correction+panic release=stampede begins Waiting for the final performance on Wall Street, the time window is likely to be in the next two to three weeks. Bitcoin, BTC, Polymarket fund voting main force distributes Bitcoin Tiger Diary
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