BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.19 Let’s get straight to the point: I think BTC will complete the drop that started from 76,000 as early as next week, and at the latest by the weekly candle on 3/30. The strength of this drop will determine which path it follows as shown in the chart. Ever since BTC broke through 74,000, I’ve been consistently pouring cold water on the hype, repeatedly reminding everyone that this is just a rebound. Once the rebound ends, the downtrend will continue. Even if the rebound expands in scale, the first phase of the rebound is already nearing its end, and it will be followed by a drop of the same magnitude. When creating a trading strategy, the most important thing is to identify commonalities. As shown in the chart, assuming 76,000 is the stage high, then whether it’s a new downtrend or a pullback, the commonality between the red and blue paths is that they both require an initial drop. The only difference is the intensity of the drop. So, if you find an entry point to short, isn’t it just a matter of how much profit you make? What do you guys think—will BTC drop below 60K by the end of March? Or is this just a pullback, with another push in April?