彼得兔
彼得兔|Mar 18, 2026 04:06
"BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.18 The rebound starting from $60K has lasted for 39 days. If this rebound is targeting the drop from $97,900 to $60K (blue route), then the endpoint of the rebound must be found this week, followed by a downward move. Otherwise, the rebound starting from $60K might be targeting the entire drop from $126,000 to $60K (red route). Based on our structural analysis of BTC, we’ve outlined two possible routes in the chart: Red Route: The rebound starting from $60K is overall a three-wave structure. The highest point of this week’s weekly candle marks the endpoint of the first wave of the rebound. After the first wave ends, there will be a pullback lasting until late March or early April, forming an adjustment endpoint that doesn’t break below $60K. This will then kick off the next wave of the rebound, lasting until mid-to-late April. Once the entire rebound from $60K is completed, a downward move of the same scale as the drop from $126,000 to $60K will begin. Blue Route: The rebound starting from $60K is targeting the drop from $97,900 to $60K. If the endpoint of the rebound is found this week, the price will continue to decline, completing the entire drop from $126,000. Afterward, a rebound of the same scale will occur. Under this route, the low point needs to fall below $60K. However, the time left for this downward move is very limited—the longer it drags on, the lower the probability of this scenario. I’ve already prepared trading strategies for both scenarios. Waiting for the market to give the answer, then striking decisively.
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