Analyst: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is approaching, and Bitcoin may face fluctuations in the $68000-80000 range Odaily Planet Daily News: Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, stated in an article on X platform that the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision for this month will be announced at 2:00 am on Thursday. Currently, the futures market shows a 99% probability of remaining unchanged, and the decision for next month's interest rate meeting is believed to have a 97% probability of remaining unchanged. The impact of the Federal Reserve on the market in the next two months may be relatively limited. At present, Bitcoin is fluctuating around 74000, and the Greed Index is in a neutral state: 1. Hawkish signal: If the dot plot shows only 1 or even 0 interest rate cuts in 2026, market expectations will decrease, liquidity will tighten, and BTC is highly likely to backtrack the support level of $68000. 2. Pigeon Surprise: As long as Powell mentions "controllable inflation" or "paying attention to the labor market", the improvement in liquidity expectations will directly impact the $800000 mark. 3. X variable: Kevin Warsh, the soon to be new chairman nominated by Trump, has more unpredictable policy preferences than Powell. The market is most afraid of a 'policy vacuum period' or a 'hawkish shift change'. Prior to the April meeting, institutional funds may choose to hedge and sell, leading to significant fluctuations in altcoins.