星球日报
星球日报|Mar 16, 2026 12:48
[Analyst: On-chain prediction market fees are likely underestimated, Kalshi's $1.1 billion revenue over the past 30 days is highly probable] Odaily Planet Daily News: Regarding the prediction market revenue rankings previously released by Parity, crypto analyst Dash posted on the X platform stating that Kalshi's data is highly likely to be accurate. Based on its fee structure and publicly disclosed taker transaction calculations, its fees amount to approximately $1.18 billion. If trading is conducted via Robinhood, the 1% nominal amount estimate is relatively accurate, with Kalshi's nominal trading volume over the past 30 days reaching $11 billion. Additionally, fees in on-chain prediction markets are likely underestimated. Currently, platforms like DefiLlama primarily calculate fees in USD or stablecoins, neglecting fees priced in shares. After accounting for this portion of fees, platforms such as Polymarket, Predict.fun, and Limitless will show higher actual fees, with Predict.fun being approximately 40% higher and Polymarket approximately 80% higher.
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