加密前线(糖哥)|Mar 16, 2026 08:51
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
The current price of BTC has once again approached the main control line of 75180, and the current control line plays a suppressive role during trading.
Before the rebound reversal structure appears in the market, all upward movements near the control line need to be viewed with the idea of rising and falling, while also being cautious of sharp downward movements at 4H and above levels.
In terms of daily and above levels, in the past month, Sugar Brother has been indicating that the current price is on the bearish side of the bearish trend, and the existing price is a limited fluctuation between its upper and lower tracks during the second sideways process of the daily line.
The corresponding suppression on the upper track of the second horizontal plate, as well as the rebound point after crossing the upper track, the corresponding support on the lower track of the horizontal plate, and the rebound point after falling below the lower track, these high-level ideas need not be changed until the structure changes.
From the trend of 4H to 12H, it can be seen that the current uptrend is all contained in large-scale suppression, which means that the uptrend here is difficult to sustain and the space is relatively limited. There is still a lot of theoretical knowledge to be discussed, and personal time is limited, so I cannot list them one by one.
To summarize, two suggestions can be given: on the one hand, do not chase after the rise while suppressing the market; On the one hand, if the position of the lifeline strategy at all levels drops slowly, you can keep an eye on the market, but do not place orders in advance, because a real decline cannot be stopped. Simply hang the lower rail of the box and the point where it falls significantly below the box.
The reason for this is that at present, we are getting closer to the second sideways period of the daily chart. If we change upwards, there will be various pressures, and there is no reason to go up (because it will eventually come down). Here, it is more of a sudden drop after attracting bullish investors and allowing retail investors to get on board.
From the trend of 1H and below, it can be seen that the market after the rally is in a local bullish trend, but the uptrend has not yet dissipated. Sugar Brother has never had the tradition of buying after stretching, and can sell high after the top of this level deviates or breaks.
Summary: After the price approached the main control line<75180>, all levels were generally in a state of suppression, and many troops temporarily suspended their operations. This week, we will focus on the sharp decline after the second high of the price consolidation, or the rebound after directly falling to the second downward horizontal track of the daily line.
Short term suppression is in the current area up to 75180 (temporarily not operated for deviations or breaks below 1H level), and the second suppression is 78420-80866 (pin reserved)
In the short term, the mid to low range is 69026-68040 (those who can do it can fast in and out, without hanging orders in advance), and the short-term support range is 64310-63540 (slow decline is better, fast in and out). I shouldn't give too many short-term positions. I will operate around the lifeline strategy after a small level of decline. There will be no trend oriented opportunities here, and the higher the rebound and rise of the trend, the worse the decline. BTC
Reserve several sets of long-lasting pin positions and save them on your own:
60110-58176 (can be hung, valid for 2 months)
55522-53830 (can be hung, valid for 3 months)
47510-45140 (Long term hanging, valid for 6 months)
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