US Iran game enters high-pressure tug of war, BTC bear bottom enters time verification stage Is the deployment of US Marine Corps to the Middle East about to escalate the war comprehensively? Compared to the 2003 Iraq War, the US military deployed a large-scale joint ground attack, with approximately 336000 ground troops, including the Army, Marine Corps, Reserve, and National Guard. In terms of organization and combat style, that is a standard 'heavy ground war'. And this time, the US has deployed an expeditionary force of approximately 2500 Marines. This size of military force is more like a crisis response and pre deployment. There is still a significant gap between the large-scale ground advance, deep occupation, and overthrow of the regime in the 2003 Iraq War. Of course, if there continues to be synchronous assembly of heavy army, logistics supply system, pre positioned equipment, and large-scale air delivery in the future, it will be a different story. The current intention of the United States is to simultaneously advance military presence, maritime escort, and deterrence capabilities. However, they also have concerns. For example, the US military attacked the military targets on Harger Island, but deliberately did not destroy the oil infrastructure, indicating that Trump does not want to take the initiative to cross the line of "fighting the energy war" for the time being. Iran has also publicly stated that the Kharg Island is a red line, saying 'you can hit military targets, but don't touch the lifeline of the country', while also showing domestically that it has not backed down and must maintain a tough narrative. But if Iran really locks up Hormuz for a long time, it is also equivalent to actively pushing the United States, Arab countries, and even more external forces towards a stronger joint countermeasure. So, the current reality of both sides is' upgraded but under control '. Meiyi tried to push the conflict to a position of 'enough pain, but not out of control'. The next phase is likely to be a high-pressure tug of war around the red lines of Hormuz, Halger Island, maritime escort, and energy facilities. Coincidentally, this also coincides with the bear market "time" that BTC should have experienced in the first place. I believe many friends should remember that when BTC was consolidating around 6w+, I expressed a viewpoint that BTC is not far from a bear bottom in terms of space, but there is still a gap in time. Looking at past cycles, a bear bottom was not formed in just a few days or weeks, as shattered confidence and consensus require longer time to repair, which is clearly evident in many of our data and indicators. Perhaps there is a divine will in the depths of the universe. This tug of war did not allow BTC to fall to a new low from the beginning, but instead provided a rare opportunity to digest differences and reconstruct consensus. Both 6w and 5w BTC may be the bottom of this bear market, but no one has stipulated that they must fall to 5w or even lower to be considered complete. As long as the time conditions are met, neither the floating loss nor the floating profit chips are willing to sell more, and a bottom naturally forms.