彼得兔|Mar 14, 2026 04:05
Everyone, this BTC rally starting from $60K, I’ve always defined it as a rebound. After the rebound ends, BTC will continue to drop—that’s the point I’ve been emphasizing over and over again.
To be honest, I really hope I’m wrong this time. The continuous decline over the past six months has maxed out everyone’s expectations for the ‘end of the bear market and the start of the bull market.’ I completely understand that kind of torment because I’ve been through two rounds of such grueling bear markets. But reality is often harsh—the bear market process might just be halfway through, and it won’t be kinder to us just because we’re hoping for it.
Since my updates in August 2025, I’ve publicly predicted and pretty much nailed almost every major and minor fluctuation of BTC and ETH. Facts have proven that most of the time, I’ve been right.
Precisely because of this, maybe one day in the future when I’m wrong, the real challenge will just begin.
I need to calm down, review every step of my logic, dig out the flaws in my thinking, and constantly adapt to new market changes. Even a trader with a high hit rate must remain humble at all times because the market is always smarter than us. True growth is often hidden in those mistakes that make us uncomfortable. It’s okay to make mistakes, but it’s not okay to repeat them. Over time, every trade will make us stronger.
Let’s endure this bear market together in 2026, and I hope everyone will still be here in 2028. Those who can stick it out will definitely reap great rewards. I’ve been through two bull and bear cycles, and I believe the third one won’t be any different.
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