PANews|Mar 13, 2026 00:21
[CryptoQuant: Impacted by Ethereum's 'Adoption Paradox,' ETH Price May Drop to $1,500]
According to The Block, on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant stated that Ethereum is facing an 'adoption paradox,' where network activity has reached an all-time high, yet ETH's price has significantly declined. CryptoQuant's head of research noted that if the bear market persists, ETH could further drop to around $1,500, a level that might appear by the end of the third quarter or early fourth quarter of this year.
Data shows that Ethereum's daily active addresses hit a record high last month, surpassing levels seen during the 2021 bull market, while ETH has fallen more than 50% from its peak in this cycle. Activity generated by smart contracts and automated protocols has also surged, with internal contract calls reaching an all-time high last month. However, historical correlations have deteriorated, and the positive correlation between ETH price and contract-driven activity has weakened.
CryptoQuant pointed out that exchange inflows explain ETH price dynamics better than network activity metrics. The relatively high exchange inflow ratio of ETH compared to Bitcoin indicates stronger relative selling pressure. Ethereum's realized market cap one-year change recently turned negative, suggesting capital outflows despite continued growth in on-chain activity. The head of research stated that ETH needs to see positive capital inflows and lower exchange inflows to emerge from the bear market.
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