I have seen many people post that Polymarket traders have a high winning rate, which means they can follow orders? Actually, many of Polyamarket's data are not as valuable as they seem on the surface A high winning rate can be achieved. Many high win rate addresses usually have many loss making orders that have not been closed. With fewer loss making orders, the win rate naturally increases The winning rate of addresses engaged in tail end trading is generally high, and the possibility of market reversal is relatively small. But losing once may be worth the profits of dozens of closing sessions, so a high win rate does not necessarily mean stable profits. For example: The winning rate of the address in the graph is as high as 88.6%, but it can be seen that most transactions occur above 95%. The final profit is approximately between 100-300 U, with occasional significant losses If you want to make market forecasts and follow orders, the factors to consider are not only "win rate" The holding time is equally important, and it is divided into mean and median.