灯塔说
灯塔说|Mar 11, 2026 06:00
The trend still depends on the daily and weekly lines. I said in January this year that 75K is a key position. Only when it truly falls below 75K can the downward trend be considered fully established (see the black neckline on the daily chart). Breaking below that neck line is the confirmation of the end of the 25 year bull market. There are two interpretations from the current structure: Either it's a four wave rebound, Either it's the bottom of the five waves. From a more standard form, it actually resembles a four wave rebound structure, There is a fifth wave of decline following. However, even in the fifth wave, we are now approaching the end. So whether waiting for a rebound or considering buying at the bottom, Buying spot goods in batches for the long term during the subsequent decline is a cost-effective operation. As for whether the price is 50000 or 30000, there is no need to be too indecisive. From the perspective of structural deduction, I think there is a high probability of a low point occurring in the 56K-52K interval later on, so it is worth paying close attention to. BTC
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