Trump once again performed his unique skill TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out), "We have won in many aspects, but we have not won enough", "The Iran war may be coming to an end" Subsequently, the US stock market regained lost ground, WTI crude oil fell sharply, and BTC returned to $70000. Therefore, traders have formed a special trading logic: being scared off by policies first → eventually softening policies → market rebound; People call this trading model TACO Trade. During this period, the BRS signal was as low as 66 and as high as 89; In short, it has neither returned to 100 nor dropped to 0, so this process - from leaving 100 on March 2nd to definitely dropping to 0 one day in the future - should be a volatile market. The reason why it is called a shock is that even if BRS returns to 0, I personally do not have high expectations for the current price ceiling of BTC, and I cannot even consider it a decent rebound. From the current chip structure, above 80000 will face significant resistance and double the pressure. Of course, there is also a possibility: if there is a major bearish trend (black swan) in the market, BTC will fall sharply again, and BRS will return to 100 before reaching zero, then this may also be a rare opportunity to buy at the bottom. From a trading perspective, if there is significant uncertainty or confusion, short-term high-frequency trading should be reduced or stopped. As I mentioned in my tweet yesterday, as the macro environment becomes more complex, some of the more active whale populations are also becoming cautious. If the market is about to emerge from a bear bottom, there will definitely be multiple data performances and signal indicators pointing to the same conclusion. Before that, we don't need to make fearless attempts out of fear of missing out and repeatedly wear down our capital. For most buddies, perhaps a regular investment is the best way.