金色财经
金色财经|Mar 10, 2026 02:58
[Goldman Sachs and Barclays Simultaneously Warn: Prolonged High Oil Prices Could Push U.S. Inflation to 3%] According to a report by Jinse Finance citing foreign media, both Goldman Sachs and Barclays have warned that sustained increases in oil prices could drive overall inflation higher. Goldman Sachs estimates that a 10% rise in oil prices could lead to an approximately 0.28 percentage point increase in the CPI. In one scenario, if oil prices rise by about $10 and remain elevated for three months, the U.S. inflation rate could climb from 2.4% to around 3%. Barclays believes that oil prices nearing $100 per barrel will push up overall inflation, primarily through gasoline prices. Based on its baseline outlook, U.S. overall inflation is expected to be around 2.7% year-on-year, with core inflation at approximately 2.8%, assuming oil prices do not remain high for an extended period. If oil prices persist near $100 per barrel, inflation could be pushed to 3%, potentially delaying the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts. (Jin10)
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