I really can't understand this data. The data shows that the expected interest rate cut for CME in June is close to 50%, and the probability of a rate cut in July is already the highest. macro analysis But it's only March now, and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East is still ongoing. Is it too early to expect a rate cut based solely on this data. It's impossible to just hype up this, and the risk market will rise. Now that the data is out, the US stock market is falling again before the market, and BTC is also falling again. Is this to interpret a recession? At least as of the time of publication, market interpretation seems to suggest this The employment data is not good, coupled with rising oil prices and inflation issues .. Does the market think of recession+inflation? I really don't, Sister Li Fortunately, as I mentioned earlier, BTC touched 73 or above and came down. (If we give strong employment data today, it won't be conducive to interest rate cuts. On the contrary, it won't be painful or itchy. The market's focus is still on geography, and the market is still volatile.) It's normal, the geopolitical impact is still ongoing. The first 63-74 points have already reached at least 10 points, with no new stimulation and insufficient buying. Moreover, those who got in the car earlier have to leave because it's already 10 points, causing back and forth pressure Let's continue to break through the 7 oscillations. As for the rest, let's first see how the US stock market will interpret it when it opens later Especially with low liquidity tomorrow weekend. I don't know if the Sichuan Universiade will enlarge its moves again Continue grinding.