律动BlockBeats|3月 04, 2026 06:07
Analyst: Bitcoin's short-term rebound signal begins to turn after a month, with a historical win rate of over 80%
According to BlockBeats, on March 4th, on chain data analyst Murphy posted on social media that Bitcoin's short-term band signal "BRS" began to change after remaining unchanged for nearly a month.
Murphy explained that the method of "catching rebounds" in BRS signals is very simple, which is to use BRS=100 as a buying point and BRS returning to 0 as a selling point, using it as a trading band.
From historical data, this signal has accumulated 11 signal samples between 2018 and 2022, with a success/failure ratio of 9-2 and an overall historical win rate of approximately 81.8%, demonstrating high effectiveness among historical samples.
The BRS indicator hit 100 again on February 2, 2026, when the price of Bitcoin was at $75000. Therefore, when BRS returns to 0, the price of Bitcoin should be at least $75000 higher to be considered a successful signal trigger.
After a full month of long-term maintenance at 100, BRS finally began to move away from 100 towards the 0 axis. It should be noted that this signal is only of reference value for traders who are engaged in rebound trading and wish to reduce their positions.
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