Prediction markets price whether something happens. They don't tell you what it does to asset prices. Instead of asking whether the Fed will cut rates, you ask what BTC is worth in the world where they do versus the world where they don't. @lightconexyz is building conditional markets on Solana. Deposit an asset and receive tokens representing each side of an event, both trading independently. When the event resolves the correct branch redeems at full value and the other expires worthless. Traditional finance doesn't have a clean way to isolate event-specific price impact. Futures tell you the odds of a rate change but not what assets are worth under each outcome. Options price how big the move might be but can't separate what's driving it. There's nothing that tells you what an asset is worth specifically in the tariff scenario versus the no tariff scenario. Conditional markets create that instrument. Split a position across outcomes and only carry exposure to the branch you want to hedge without paying for optionality you don't need. If the infrastructure matures this takes prediction markets from opinion polls to something closer to a parallel financial system.(Delphi Digital)