*Walter Bloomberg|Mar 03, 2026 14:25
🚨 RATE CUT BETS DROP AS INFLATION FEARS RISE
Markets are rapidly repricing as rising energy costs push inflation expectations higher and rate cut bets lower.
Latest data from Kalshi shows:
• 1 cut: ~25%
• 2 cuts: ~24%
• 3 cuts: ~19% and falling
At the same time:
5-year inflation expectations rose to 2.54%
Odds of 2+ Fed cuts fell to 57% (from 79%)
10-year yields climbed to ~4.1%
The shift reflects a fast market rethink as energy prices rise, reinforcing a more cautious outlook from the Federal Reserve.
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxratecutcount/number-of-rate-cuts/kxratecutcount-26dec31?utm_source=walterbloomberg(*Walter Bloomberg)
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