Has Khamenei really died? What is the most important question after his death? From the trends of the polymarket and big cakes, my personal inclination is really dead. The biggest question now is, if Khamenei had already died during the first round of US Israeli bombings, who would be in charge of Iran's retaliation afterwards? Yesterday, Iran's counterattack was much stronger and broader than before: from the beginning, it targeted US military bases in Gulf countries and even threatened to ban navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. This is much stronger than Iran's bombing and counterattack against Israel during last year's "Twelve Day War". This is also one of the reasons why I personally think Khamenei died, as this counterattack style is not quite like Khamenei's previous style of action. Who is commanding Iran's retaliation has become the most important issue now, because it shows that Khamenei is really dead, but someone has quickly taken over the command, and Iran's internal core command system can still be maintained. And such a strong counterattack also indicates that this person is a hardliner. Is it true that even if Khamenei dies, his position will be taken over by a hardliner of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, as previously deduced by the CIA. If that's the case, Khamenei may be dead, but the situation is far from over and may become even more severe in the future? Because more hawkish people have come to power in Iran Of course, it is best for the United States and Israel to take advantage of the death of Khamenei and incite some moderate factions within the Iranian Defense Forces and Revolutionary Guard Corps to rebel and cause trouble, which is equivalent to the emergence of a powerful opposition within Iran. Then the situation will quickly improve.