[Data Shows: Holding Bitcoin for At Least Three Years Can Avoid Losses] According to a report by Cointelegraph, an analysis by Bitwise reviewed Bitcoin's price history from July 17, 2010, to February 11, 2026, and concluded that holding Bitcoin for at least three years reduces the probability of losses to just 0.70%. Holding for more than three years further decreases the risk of losses: five years at 0.2%, and ten years at 0%. Traders holding for less than three years face a higher risk of losses, with intraday buyers experiencing a loss probability of 47.1%. Despite Bitcoin being down approximately 50% from its October 2025 peak, currently trading at around $65,000, it remains significantly above its realized price of $34,780 over the past 3 to 5 years, meaning investors who bought and held during this period are still enjoying about 90% profits. However, most traders who bought in the past two years are in a loss position, with a cost basis of approximately $101,250 for those holding 6 to 12 months, reflecting an unrealized loss of about 35%, and a cost basis of approximately $78,150 for those holding 1 to 2 years, reflecting an unrealized loss of about 15%.