The bear market in 2017-2018 was divided into two stages, first falling from 18000 to 6000-8000, and then fluctuating for a long time before halving again to around 3000 In the 2019-2020 Little Bear Market, it first fell from 14000 to 6000-7000, then rebounded and fluctuated again, halving to 3800 The bear market in 2022 first halved from 69000 to 32000, then rebounded and oscillated for several months, and then halved again to 15000-16000 on the basis of the lowest price So if you insist on carving a boat and seeking a sword, this is a relatively stable rule at present: In every bear market of Da Bing, the new low price will experience two price cuts at the monthly level So currently, the price has dropped from 120000 to 60000, completing the first halving. Under this logic, falling to 30000-40000 in a few months is not an unrealistic fantasy But why don't I think the price can really reach 30000? Because my long-term experience of carving boats and seeking swords tells me that the eternal and unchanging law in the market cycle is "no matter what"! Any pattern will inevitably deviate completely from expectations by the fourth verification, so my idea is that as long as there is a new low, it is the time to increase positions and make fixed investments! I really can't think of how to lose a spot position with an average price of 60000 or even 50000?