猴哥🐒|Feb 23, 2026 15:02
Bitcoin might be due for a small rebound
Looking at the monthly candlestick chart, the big guy ($BTC) has already dropped to the L3 trendline shown in the chart.
Except for 2018, whenever the monthly candlestick hit this line in 2021, 2022, and 2024, it triggered a short-term rebound.
In 2018, it happened in November, but before that, Bitcoin didn’t experience consecutive monthly declines. Instead, it had been moving sideways for six months before a sudden industry-wide negative event (the Bitcoin hash war) caused it to break the trendline and crash.
One thing to clarify: the support line represents the price dropping to this line and ultimately holding, not invalidating just because it dips below for a few days. If it recovers by the end of the month, it still counts as successful support.
For those trading contracts, take note—I’m talking spot logic here, don’t misunderstand.
From a macro perspective, there isn’t any major negative news. It’s just that this year hasn’t seen large-scale liquidity entering the market.
The annual balance sheet expansion is limited, and the number and scale of rate cuts are also limited, which means it’s unlikely to evolve into a new round of major QE.
So, even after a rebound, things will still be tough.
For now, just hang in there and wait until the end of the year to pick up the pieces!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC
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