After RIVER's knee-jerk drop, can it recover? Why did the token price drop by 70%? ✅ Good news: The protocol relies on real fee-sharing (satUSD+), not some air mining token; just integrated Curve for deep liquidity; the community's Spring Festival activities are super popular. ❌ Bad news: Circulating supply is only 47%, and the upcoming unlock period is like the Sword of Damocles hanging overhead. Let’s look at the key support levels: Current price: Around $8.07 Key support: $7.6 Target rebound: $12.0 (set your stop-loss properly) My advice? Don’t panic sell, but also don’t go heavy before the unlock period. Before entering, check one of the key criteria! How to judge if the selling pressure is fatal? Ask yourself three questions: 1. Is the dilution rate (Daily Inflation) high? If the daily unlock amount > 5% of the daily average trading volume, it’s hard for the price to hold. 2. Is the current price close to institutional cost? If the current price is near institutional cost, institutions might not sell off and could even pump to protect the price; if the current price is far above cost, institutions might dump and never look back. 3. What’s the market sentiment (OI/Funding Rate)? For example, RIVER’s funding rate is currently negative, meaning everyone is betting on a post-unlock crash. If the selling pressure isn’t as big as expected, it could trigger a short squeeze and lead to a price surge. River Bitcoin Stablecoin DeFi @RiverdotInc @River4fun